Exercise 2 · AI & Robotics Impact on Work · 2026 Research Series

Forecasted U.S. Private Sector Employment
Impacted by AI and Robotics · 2027–2046

% of 2026 baseline employment remaining each year · 18 NAICS industry supersectors · Sources: Anthropic, McKinsey MGI, Goldman Sachs, U.S. Treasury
Baseline Employment
137.3M
Projected Remaining 2046
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Gross Displacement by 2046
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Most Exposed Sector
Information (70%)
Most Resilient Sector
Healthcare (25%)
VIEW YEAR 2046
CHART MODE
SORT
Employment Trajectory by Sector (% of 2026 Baseline)
Hover sectors below to highlight · Click to pin
How to read this chart: Values represent the % of each sector's 2026 baseline employment that remains occupied by human workers. A value of 60% in 2035 means 40% of that sector's jobs have been displaced by AI or robotics. New job creation is excluded — these are gross displacement figures. Both AI and robotics follow S-curve adoption trajectories: AI displaces knowledge work 2027–2041; robotics displaces physical/manual work 2030–2046. Sources: Anthropic (2026), McKinsey MGI (2023, 2025), Goldman Sachs (2023–26), U.S. Treasury (2024), Bain & Co. (2025).